Match Summary

NK Varaždin - NK Lokomotiva Zagreb in the HNL is scheduled for 9 May 2026 at Stadion Varteks, Varaždin. Market Favorite: NK Varaždin (≈51% implied probability); Draw ≈30%; NK Lokomotiva Zagreb ≈29%. Standings context: Varaždin 3rd on 47 points; Lokomotiva 5th on 41 points.

Form Analysis & Trajectory

• NK Varaždin: Arrive off a three-game winning run followed by consecutive defeats, indicating recent volatility after a strong surge. Their average team rating across recent matches is 6.80. Season profile (42 scored, 45 conceded) and a negative goal difference suggest narrow margins; defensive leakage has contributed to the latest setbacks despite their top‑three position.
• NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: Enter after three straight wins, then a draw, then a loss—momentum cooled in the last two outings. Their recent average rating is 6.73. A 38‑for/50‑against season line points to a leaky defense that limits control of matches, even when results trend positively.

Comparison Data

Key Match Insights

• Market view: Varaždin are the market favorite with an implied win probability of approximately 51%.
• H2H balance: Lokomotiva lead the overall head‑to‑head 4–3, with 3 draws.
• Manager duel: No recorded head‑to‑head data available for Nikola Šafarić vs. Nikica Jelavić.
• Ratings snapshot: Recent team average ratings — Varaždin 6.80; Lokomotiva 6.73. Venue: Stadion Varteks (capacity 10,800), Varaždin.